The F1 Times Canadian GP Gamble
|8 June 2012 by Daniel Chalmers | M||Tweet
The F1 Times gambling contest between Ryan Wood (Editor) and Daniel Chalmers (Feature Editor) heads to the 7th round in Canada.
Both men have a budget of £5 to spend on a maximum of 3 different bets relating to the upcoming event. The deadline for these bets to be placed is before the start of the first Friday practise session.
At the end of the season the winner will be the person who has made the most profit, or made the lowest loss.
Here are the results from last time.
Bet 1 – Lewis Hamilton to qualify on pole and win the race - £2.00 at 4/1
Bet 2 – Pastor Maldonado to finish on the podium - £2.00 at 7/2.
Bet 3 – Heikki Kovalainen to finish in the points - £1.00 at 25/1
Bet 1 – Lewis Hamilton to win the race – £2.00 at 3/1
Bet 2 – Heikki Kovalainen to finish in the points - £1 at 33/1
Bet 3 – Bruno Senna to win the race - £1 each way at 100/1
It was a very bad week with no money being won at all. Both Ryan and Daniel gambled on Williams repeating their form from the Spanish GP. However as it turned out they had a shocker of a weekend, only scoring one point with Senna. The less said about Maldonado’s weekend the better.
They also both thought Hamilton would finally win a race, but in the end finished a disappointing fifth. They were even both sure Kovalainen had a great chance of scoring Caterham’s first point. As it turned out that was the closest they came to winning some money, as Heikki came 13th. He could have come higher had he not damaged his front wing.
After five races £30 pounds have been spent by both men. Ryan now has 25p worth of losses, whilst Daniel has £20.50 worth of losses. Therefore there is currently still a difference of £20.25 between the two gamblers.
Canada is one of the most exciting races of the season. It’s been a while since we have had a dull Canadian GP. Montreal is completely different to Monaco in that it is full of long straights therefore top speed is critical.
However the circuit’s straights are connected by slow corners so good traction is vital too.
With both men desperately needing a win to save themselves from financial ruin you will notice a slight change of strategy. Will it bring a change of fortunes?
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Round 6 Canada
Michael Schumacher to qualify on pole - £2.00 at 6/1
This is a Mercedes circuit. The Montreal track features several long straights which will suit Mercedes super-DRS perfectly in qualifying when the use is unrestricted.
The W03 also has one of the highest straight-line speeds - a key benefit around the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve.
Why Schumacher over Nico Rosberg? It's about time the seven time world champion enjoyed some more luck.
Lewis Hamilton to win the race -£3.00 at 4/1
Seven different winners in seven races. I never thought it would become a possibility but this season is full of surprises. So I really believe Hamilton can be number seven.
He's a bit of Canada specialist too. He's been on pole three times in the four times he's raced in Canada (75%) and won twice -however he's been competitive at all four had it not been for mistakes (pit lane crash in 2008 and last year he clashed with team-mate Jenson Button. It's about time he won.
Michael Schumacher to win the race - £2.00 at 14/1
Montreal should be a great track for Mercedes. In Monaco they showed that their car is very good in slow corners with Schumacher setting the fastest time in qualifying (albeit with a five place penalty).
In Montreal Mercedes will be able to make full use of their strength in slow corners plus their super-DRS on the long straights. Even without super-DRS the W03 already has good stop speed.
We have already seen this season how strong Mercedes are on circuits that feature a couple of long straights. On paper this is the best track for the team so far this year.
Schumacher has been quick all year but has been completely luckless. You just feel it could finally be his weekend at a track he has been very successful on in the past. After that lap in Monaco he is going to be thriving on confidence.
You certainly fancy a Mercedes to be on pole at least. With the last four races being won from pole, they will have a good chance of staying there too.
Kimi Raikkonen to win the race - £2.00 at 12/1
Of course I can’t win both these bets but I feel victory will go to either Schumacher or Raikkonen, and with such generous odds its worth going for both of them. I have only spent £4 on these two bets altogether so winning either would result in a substantial profit
Montreal should be a great track for Lotus too. Curiously despite having the same Renault engines, which Red Bull complain about horsepower wise, Lotus are regularly at the top end of the speed traps on circuits with long straights.
The E20 also has very good traction as shown in Bahrain when Kimi almost won the race there. Furthermore the E20 seems to perform very well when it’s hot, and Sunday is forecast to be a warm day in Montreal.
Paul Di Resta to finish in the top 6 - £1.00 at 15/2
Although he hasn’t had a headline catching result like Sergio Perez and Pastor Maldonado, Di Resta has quietly been doing a very good job, scoring points in four out of the six races so far.
Montreal should be a good track for Force India. In the last few years the team have fared well at tracks, which require a lower downforce setup. Plus let’s not forget they also have the Mercedes engine, which has a great record at this circuit in recent years.
Force India has also shown that they are not afraid to go for a different strategy to their rivals. This worked well for them in Bahrain where Di Resta finished 6th.
Had I been a bit braver I would have gone for Paul to finish on the podium at 50/1.